SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The jury remains out as to whether Beijing has a clearly thought-through agenda with the Pacific Islands Forum, meeting this week, or even in Africa, or whether it is just lashing out to show that it still matters. But, rest assured, it is lashing out.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
In an evolving period of transformation, exacerbated by US global initiatives, everything has changed, but nothing has been resolved.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
A trend toward moderate, pro-US governments is emerging in South America. Will it be enough to ensure President Trump’s desire for a Washington-dominated Western Hemisphere?
HISTORY
The Home of Geopolitical Grand Strategy
Canada is emerging as a major new factor in the Indo-Pacific as well as in polar strategic realities, particularly since the forced separation of Canada from its stagnant, seven decade-old security situation subordinate to the US.
Transforming military technology coupled with geopolitical realignments are starting to clarify the conditions for a clean-sheet re-evaluation of the US-Canada strategic framework, currently governed by a politically dysfunctional NORAD (North American Air Defense) alliance.
Has the US’ patchy record in strategic messaging robbed it of the consistent strategic progress it could have had, and denied it the support of various societies around the world? This may be coming to a head in 2026. But first, how do we define “strategic messaging” in the 21st Century?
Global trade route patterns are entering a period of massive change in 2026.
The US continues to think of information operations today more in terms of the facilitating technologies, rather than the manipulation of social patterns and the underlying cultural patterns which shape governments and strategic outcomes.
Equatorial Guinea Vice-President Teodoro Nguema Obiang Mangue said on June 16, 2026, that the Government of Prime Minister Manuel Osa Nsue Nsua had resigned after “failing to meet its objectives”.
Ethiopia’s so-called civil war is very much a proxy war which is poised to transform the strategic balance in the greater Middle East, reducing the power of Egypt and the Suez Canal, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the Persian Gulf’s Hormuz choke-point.
For the CCP — as with the Revolutionary Guard leaders in Tehran — the great victory would be to merely survive the Trump era.
There are many in policy positions who — in all ages — are happy to dispense with grounded, independent, and deep, objective analysis. They want what they want, and they do not seek countervailing arguments to deter them. But it hardly plays into the goal of long-term societal success.
There can be no clarity in viewing the post-communist era in the Caribbean.