Latest
Is the US Losing the Middle East? Has it Already Lost it?
President Trump has alienated not only some of the Persian Gulf states, but also Israel, damaging what had been an unbeatable support base for him and the US.
How Will the US Deal with Embraer’s C-390?
Embraer is now a fully-diversified aerospace company, and far better able to negotiate its position with the United States going forward than it was when it began its original negotiations with Boeing in around 2014.
Indonesia’s New Light Aircraft Carrier is a Strategic Indicator; the Problem is the Indonesian Budget
The Cardiff Memorandum is Reflective of British Strategic Decline
Doubling down on an increasingly outdated ideological status quo while simultaneously failing to provide solutions to Britain’s rapidly deteriorating economic and social situation is only likely to further fan the flames of separatism and division.
The Wars Betwixt State and Society
Could the growing schism between the societies which make up the nation-state and the state itself be at the core of the challenge to the 21st Century as populations now debate whether, and how, they can re-structure the Westphalian geopolitical matrix, perhaps one society at a time.
Strategic and Tactical Lessons of the Iran-US War
The Iran-Israel ongoing war, and the 2026 variant of Iran-US conflict delivered its own set of lessons, mostly centered around the prepared use of dispersed and autonomous fighting commands.
The Path to Strategic Hell is Paved with Unguarded Rhetoric
There is little logic — and much gambling — at play in all the conflicts now emerging.
The Breakup of the Sunni Axis in Restless Türkiye
Tehran successfully used Houthis to discredit the recent Mecca Defense Agreement, as Türkiye refused to provide defensive assistance to Saudi Arabia following attacks.
Breaking the Closed Loop Which is Yemen, and How History Led to the Impasse
All Fall Down: Is Civilizational Collapse Even Worth Considering?
Failure to consider and plan for the greatest of global uncertainties means a guaranteed unreadiness to meet them.
Military Aircraft Manufacturing Proliferation Creates a New Age of Alliance
Remaking the military aerospace market is very much a part of remaking the global strategic architecture. What is happening now takes us back to mid-20th Century frameworks and, increasingly, to a revived multi-polar world.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Niger's Attempted Coup Exposed Decisive Geopolitical Competition in West Africa
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Xi Lashes Out in the Pacific and Africa, But to What End?
The jury remains out as to whether Beijing has a clearly thought-through agenda with the Pacific Islands Forum, meeting this week, or even in Africa, or whether it is just lashing out to show that it still matters. But, rest assured, it is lashing out.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Winning the War of Words Means Knowing When to Fall Silent
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Is the Craving for Order Over Chaos Destroying Long-Term Strategic Logic?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has the US Offensive Peaked?
In an evolving period of transformation, exacerbated by US global initiatives, everything has changed, but nothing has been resolved.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Much Rides on the Success of the New Colombian Government
A trend toward moderate, pro-US governments is emerging in South America. Will it be enough to ensure President Trump’s desire for a Washington-dominated Western Hemisphere?
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | The Worst Pandemic in History
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Canada’s Pivotal Role in the New Indo-Pacific
Canada is emerging as a major new factor in the Indo-Pacific as well as in polar strategic realities, particularly since the forced separation of Canada from its stagnant, seven decade-old security situation subordinate to the US.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
NORAD is Dead; Long Live NORAD
Transforming military technology coupled with geopolitical realignments are starting to clarify the conditions for a clean-sheet re-evaluation of the US-Canada strategic framework, currently governed by a politically dysfunctional NORAD (North American Air Defense) alliance.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Ankara’s Mistake? The Turkey-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Defense Agreement
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Strategic Messaging: The Frequent Point of Failure
Has the US’ patchy record in strategic messaging robbed it of the consistent strategic progress it could have had, and denied it the support of various societies around the world? This may be coming to a head in 2026. But first, how do we define “strategic messaging” in the 21st Century?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Trade Winds: The New Global Distribution Pattern, Again
Global trade route patterns are entering a period of massive change in 2026.