GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
Argentina
When the Balloon Goes Up …
Balloon warfare has been advancing for years. Now, a public outcry at PRC balloon ops has generated a strategic watershed, damaging to Beijing.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Pivotal Return of Strategic Vision to the South-West Pacific
The return to the Fijian leadership of Prime Minister Rabuka is a great blow to the interests of the People’s Republic of China in the South-West Pacific, but much needs to be done, quickly, to solidify his ability to retain power in the face of opponents prepared to take extreme measures.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | CNP: Beijing’s Self-Defeating Strategic Methodology
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2023
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria Calmly Approaches its World-Level Election
SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye: The Master of Fake Provocations Rises Again
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2022
Argentina
EN CLAIR | Is the "Unthinkable" Collapse of the PRC Now Gaining Credibility?
And will protests in the PRC, Iran, and Turkey feed off each other's examples?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?