SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2022
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Xi Jinping Battles to Retain Credibility in the Run-Up to the 20th Party Congress
Just how secure is Xi Jinping in his bid for a third term as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China? His actions against Taiwan show desperation.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Ceremonial Decapitation of a Dead Terrorist
Al-Qaida’s revival must be considered unlikely. The very expensive assassination of Dr al-Zawahiri must be considered nostalgic strategic tokenism. It didn’t alter the strategic equation at all.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran and the Magical Theater of Nuclear Weapons
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2022
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Sri Lanka and the Start of a Starvation Pandemic
Poor governmental decisions are leading to starvation…and public retaliation.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria: Breakthrough or Status Quo?
The 2023 election offers the chance of a turning point. Will Nigerians seize it?
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Hope in Ethiopia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR