PERSONNEL
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Have Saudi Arabia and the UAE Found an Exit Plan from the Yemen War?
Neither the old “North Yemen” nor the old “South Yemen” have any leadership or specific plan. Both are fractured. Only Iran is making ground. And Beijing may be the hidden factor.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | India's Biggest Gamble? Crushing the Kashmir Problem
India, having finally lost the battle to win the Kashmir Valley's Muslim-majority population by political means, began moving in August 2019 to win control over its restive region by overwhelming punitive action. But it risks a longlasting strategic blowback.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | A “Coup Attempt” in Ethiopia May Be Something Different
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2019
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The Rise of an Extreme New Breed of “Jihadism” in West Africa
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Brexit: Hysteria Continues to Prevail Over Contextual Views
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
SOVEREIGNTY
Indonesia’s West Papua Sovereignty Challenge Gets Interesting
A decline in Indonesia’s relations with the US, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK could see Jakarta losing its traction with those states, increasing the potential window of support for the West Papua independence movements.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The US “Gunpowder Treason and Plot” Takes a New Turn
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2019
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Australia’s New Government: A Stable Commitment to Defense and Indo-Pacific Security
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS