DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2023
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CALIR | Has Africa Abandoned Hope For Democracy?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A New Eastern Mediterranean Strategic Matrix is Evolving
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRACTORIES | Taking Meaning — and Lessons — from Mutinies
Western analysts have been consistently keen to demonize Vladimir Putin, and predict his early departure. Wishful thinking is never good policy analysis. Assassinations and illness are always wild-cards and possibilities. But the Wagner episode was a mutiny in a teacup.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Aliyu Mohammed Gusau at 80: A Guarantor of Nigeria
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2023
2023
ISSA: Vale Lee Mason
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
EN CLAIR | A Last Chance to Save the US Marines’ New Vision?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Has the West Already Lost the Red Sea-Suez SLOC?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | All Fall Down: Fear of Reality Opens Strategic Vulnerabilities
CCP leadership has prepared for the collapse starting to affect mainland China. It is prepared for a shattering of wealth and hope among its population, reckoning that the PRC will survive, but that Western economies will not be able to handle the social-economic collapses in their own countries.