STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
1974: The Watershed Which Created 50 Wasted Years
Failure to comprehend the enduring impact of historical events ensures an inability to address current and future challenges. But the West is yet to grasp the import of 1974.
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SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Ethiopia’s Civil War: Fortress Addis Ababa Increasingly Under Siege
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iranian-Israeli-Russian-US Brinkmanship Pays Off?
The political theater of the Iranian mass air attack on Israel “satisfied honor” and possibly highlighted the reality that Iran could be split from the principal sponsors of HAMAS: Türkiye and Qatar. A line of communication seems to have been established.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | The End of “the End of the World” is Nigh
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Haiti’s Unrest Becomes Central to Counter-US Operations
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2024
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Maritime Strategy
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Satellites Don’t Have Mothers
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: The Silence of the Silent Service
AUKUS was conceived to deliver nuclear power to Australian submarine capabilities. The treaty is emerging as a strategic success … except for achieving its primary purpose.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye’s President Is Creating “His Own Army”
But it has serious problems of indiscipline and cohesion, and still lacks the characteristics of a true national army.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.