SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unready Now; Uncertain Future
Economic, social, and military instabilities escalate, but readiness to face them evaporates.
Latest
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Another Invasion of the Body Snatchers
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye: The Master of Fake Provocations Rises Again
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2022
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Truly, Son of Apollo
Important New Strategic Literature
Argentina
EN CLAIR | Is the "Unthinkable" Collapse of the PRC Now Gaining Credibility?
And will protests in the PRC, Iran, and Turkey feed off each other's examples?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Horn of Africa - War is Over: Long Live the War?
Part of the great war in Ethiopia may be over. But another part is still virulent.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New China Sea
Beijing is now strategically dominating the Caribbean Basin. Washington remains quiet.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliances: Know When to Fold 'em
We cling to old alliances as we cling to childhood blankets, and treat them just as badly. But do we understand them, and their finite lifespans and purposes?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi Consolidates Power with Deliberately Contradictory Moves
Xi Jinping needed, once the Party Congress was over, to re-assert calm over his domestic and international arenas, but there seems little he can do to blunt the PRC’s worsening economic situation and accompany-ing social unrest.