GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
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DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Twilight for the US-UK “Special Relationship”. Then What?
A cool US relationship with the UK means that Commonwealth countries such as Canada, Australia, and New Zealand could also view Washington with a more jaundiced eye, and strengthen, or rebuild, their traditional ties with the UK.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Dead Men Walking. Dead Man Waking
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Have US Sanctions Created the Basis for a Strong Iran-PRC-Russia Bloc?
The burgeoning Moscow-Beijing-Tehran friendship spells a weakening of the impact of US sanctions. Tehran’s relief from sanctions in the short-term could lead indirectly to the PRC’s long-term control over Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, cementing Beijing’s footprint in the region.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Sound Reasons For the UK's “Back to the Future” Posture
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2020
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Searching for Justice
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | What To Believe?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Eurasia's Pivotal Change
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long and Short of Ethiopia's Current Wars
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Ethiopia's Decisive War
Homer, almost 3,000 years ago, noted in the Iliad that Zeus, King of the Gods on Mount Olympus, went “to feast with the Æthiopians, loyal, lordly men, and all of the gods went with him”. Are the Gods still with the Ethiopians?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS