PERSONNEL
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DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Australia-US and Indonesia
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
And Then, What? Looking Beyond the Urgent
Strategic Planning: The fate of the current and anticipated global balance is being decided. The inevitable “rise of China” is no longer inevitable. It is over. But then?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Why Russia is Still the West’s “Pacing Threat”
Russia gives the West a military standard with which to compete. But it’s more than that.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long, Troubled, and Unfinished Saga of Sino-Russian Relations
Beijing is under massive pressure from a failing economy, a society disrupted by coronavirus, and massive natural disasters. Why would it pick a fight at this particular time with Russia over long-standing mutual territorial claims?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Each Nation Pursued by the Hounds of Hell
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Preparing for the Beijing Dénouement
Does Xi Jinping move outward, inward, or both? And to what effect? And, after that, what?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2020
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE