SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
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PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2026
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | AI: In Whom or What Do We Trust?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Creating a New Sunni Axis?
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
After the Chaos: Will the US Be the “Indispensable Nation”?
The United States may, within a decade, have completed its move from being “the indispensable nation” — whatever that means — to becoming isolated, even as it remains the world’s sole superpower.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Another British Nationalist Party? But Will it Help the West?
Restore Britain’s leader, Rupert Lowe, has created another nationalist party in the UK. But does it help his own cause since he appears to have done it to avenge his expulsion from the Reform UK party?
2026
EARLY WARNING | Time for Placeholder “Leaders” to Step Aside
Fears flush out the mettle of leaders and societies. Or not. It is important to address this now, because fears are running high around the world.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2026
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
How Will Iran Adapt Now?
Where does Iran go from here? How is the global balance changed — and it is being changed — by the emerging collapse of the Iranian theocratic, revolutionary Government?