STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Chinese Dawn Over the Persian Gulf
Saudi Arabia and the UAE move away from the US. Iran cements its ties with Beijing and Moscow. It’s another major stage in a very new Middle East.
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Britain Edges Closer to the Point of Strategic No-Return
The September putschists in Parliament may have reckoned without some of the finer points of legislative niceties which could still see Brexit delivered. The fate of Britain depends on it.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Change, When it is Seen to Appear, is Sudden
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | A Window of Opportunity Opens for the US in the Balkans
Events have conspired in the Eastern Mediterranean to open a new chapter of strategic opportunity for the United States, just as US-Turkish relations have moved into a profound downward direction.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Strategic Biography: Boris Johnson
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2019
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Defense and Strategic Planning Challenges in an Entirely New Age
Trends in geopolitical, economic, and technological developments increasingly need to be viewed within a global context. The age of stovepiping, which worked during much of the Cold War, cannot be expected to work now, or through the coming decades. Everything is connected.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Hong Kong's Protests Reflect the New Global Strategic Realities Challenging Beijing
Affairs in smaller geopolitical entities — such as Hong Kong and Dominica — show significant vulnerabilities in Beijing's apparently seamless rise to strategic power.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Turkey After the F-35 Cancellation: the Potential Impact on Cyprus
Turkey's actions toward Cyprus are now likely to strongly reflect the breakdown in Turkey's relations with the United States and the European Union.
SOVEREIGNTY
The UK and the West: Britannia Waives the Rules
Whither the United Kingdom? What are the options — and more importantly, what are the strategic priorities — for the Government of Boris Johnson? Can the UK recover from its several decades of strategic decline as a result of its European Union membership.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Have Saudi Arabia and the UAE Found an Exit Plan from the Yemen War?
Neither the old “North Yemen” nor the old “South Yemen” have any leadership or specific plan. Both are fractured. Only Iran is making ground. And Beijing may be the hidden factor.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | India's Biggest Gamble? Crushing the Kashmir Problem
India, having finally lost the battle to win the Kashmir Valley's Muslim-majority population by political means, began moving in August 2019 to win control over its restive region by overwhelming punitive action. But it risks a longlasting strategic blowback.