RESOURCES
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2021
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Failure to Plan
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Out of Disaster….
HISTORY
Consequences: Today It Is Us; Tomorrow It Is You
The Horn of Africa is sliding toward a major war which seems likely to rapidly expand to embrace the major powers. The situation has strong parallels to the 1935 Italian invasion of Ethiopia, which began World War II and destroyed the League of Nations.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persistent Intervention: The Kremlin’s Influence Operations in Ukraine
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Uzbekistan Becomes a Key Eurasian Pivot
Uzbekistan’s presidential election confirmed the nation’s retention of a strong line to cope with the collapse of neighboring Afghanistan. Tashkent is preparing for the storm.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Strategic Deception: Beijing’s Potemkin Silos?
Are the PRC’s “new ICBM silo fields” just a major strategic deception operation aimed at pushing the US to commit precious dollars down the wrong path?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Bracing for an Unusual Climax in the Horn of Africa
It was possible that the Ethiopian Military could have staged a coup against Dr Abiy, but even a military-controlled post-Abiy government would have had to move quickly to stop the rebels and their foreign sponsors, which include the Egyptian and US governments.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | The Saga of the Zahedis
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Talking Itself Into War: Algeria’s Answer to its fin d’ère?
PERSONNEL