SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
A Wargame Postulating an Initial “Battle of Taiwan”
The Washington think-tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), recently held a revealing wargaming exercise on a PRC invasion of Taiwan.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s Election: Military Coups Have Been Better Received
Nigeria’s political structure failed to account for a strong, minority third political party, and ultimately delivered a President-elect representing the policies which two-thirds of the voters opposed, and a President-elect winning only 10 percent of the registered voters.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China: Beijing’s Brave Face
Beijing’s latest forecasts are a breathtaking disguise for the abyss which it faces.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Eurasia Strategy May Deliver Beijing its Coup de Main
Xi Jinping, facing a collapsing PRC domestic economy and food supply, could broker a Ukraine war peace which would bring Ukraine back into the Eurasian fold. After all, he has now completed a major consolidation of influence over Iran and Saudi Arabia, supported by Iraq and Oman.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Confronting Civilizational Challenges
AUKUS alliance
CURRENT ESTIMATE | AUKUS: The Global Alliance is Not Just About Submarines
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 02/2023
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | Chips as the Main Meal
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Türkiye’s Implosion and Isolation From the West
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
Argentina
When the Balloon Goes Up …
Balloon warfare has been advancing for years. Now, a public outcry at PRC balloon ops has generated a strategic watershed, damaging to Beijing.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Governance: The Crown Contract
Global unrest causes people to review their fundamental security and governance structures. This is why, at a time of global change, the Liechtenstein model of constitutional monarchy becomes of interest.