PERSONNEL
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking at the Classic Autocracies ...
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Ending Iran’s Nuclear Façade
Major Western powers have for some time hidden their knowledge that Iran has already developed, tested, and deployed nuclear warheads for its strategic missiles. It is now critical to acknowledge the true position, and to assess the likelihood of their use.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Risk Averse? Risk Ignorant?
Calculating risk, opportunity, and context: how the failure of our policy tools contributes to the current collapse of the strategic balance. Changing times mean changing tools.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
New Tremors in the Turkish Army
Turkish Pres. Erdoğan’s lack of confidence in his army deepens, as loyalties persist to the Kemalist legacy of Mustafa Kemal (Atatürk), more than eight decades after his death.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
The Rise and Fall of Strategic Utopianism
Command of the 21st Century now seems likely to fall, when the chaos subsides, into the hands of the power which is first able to reject the unattainable fabianist dream of a post- industrial welfare society and begin to re-harness balanced economies and productivity.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why Sri Lanka’s Election Matters to the Global Balance
Underlying everything is whether the PRC, now facing instability due to its economic crisis, can continue to pursue a broader strategic contest in the Indo-Pacific, or whether it must contract to control the mainland while continuing a non-kinetic war with the West.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Nobility as an Essential Element of Strategy
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Venezuela’s Maduro: A Constant in a Changing World
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2024
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Is the Ethiopian War Saga Ending, or Just Beginning?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE