HISTORY
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has President Bio Dodged a Bullet?
Sierra Leone’s Julius Maada Bio bludgeoned his way to re-election in June 2023, drawing international condemnation. And yet he has now won regional support to stay in office.
SOVEREIGNTY
The Unfinished Battle
The European Union parliamentary elections, the 2024 US elections, Britain’s general election — and others — highlight the reality that “the reaction of 2016” has resumed.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Builds its “New Soviet Man”
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
2024: Tactical Nuclear Weapons
The years 2022-24 have seen increased talk of battlefield nuclear warfare, but little discussion of actual doctrine or approach. One of the great pioneers of nuclear strategy and doctrine, Dr Stefan Possony, developed doctrine after World War II which has been forgotten today.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
All Sound and Fury …
Türkiye’s use of its recent military exercises as a means of propaganda, rather than training, show the ambitions of its president.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Can AUKUS, Unrepaired, Succeed?
Failure to plan equals planning to fail. So goes the mantra of businessmen, statesmen, and warriors. Can greatness of outcome be guaranteed without greatness of vision and articulated goals?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
A Shameful Conquest of Itself
Elections in the United Kingdom delivered “a government no-one wanted” and five years of wasteland in a world in crisis, saved only by a Crown still binding the “sceptered isle”.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | The Costs of the Threats Which Never Come
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Transforming Turkish Defenses Now Also Geared to Israel
PERSONNEL