HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: The Silence of the Silent Service
AUKUS was conceived to deliver nuclear power to Australian submarine capabilities. The treaty is emerging as a strategic success … except for achieving its primary purpose.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye’s President Is Creating “His Own Army”
But it has serious problems of indiscipline and cohesion, and still lacks the characteristics of a true national army.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye’s Aggressive Military Expansion in the Horn of Africa
Türkiye’s ballistic missile program is expanding significantly as it not only expands cooperation with Pakistan, but also creates a test range in Somalia. Ankara now dominates the Horn of Africa in many military-diplomatic and trade matters.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | The Optimism-Fatalism Historical Cycle
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the “China Collapse” Already Been a “Soft Landing”?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2024
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
ESSENTIAL READING | History Through Recognition
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Those Sent to War Must Also Be Merciful
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Malaysia’s New Elected King
Malaysia crowned a new king on January 31, 2024, and he promises — like King Charles III in the UK — to add new dynamism to the monarchy, and re-define its rôle.