STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Happens if Xi Outlasts Trump?
For the CCP — as with the Revolutionary Guard leaders in Tehran — the great victory would be to merely survive the Trump era.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Is the New Strategic Framework Being Built on a “Balance of Ignorance”?
There are many in policy positions who — in all ages — are happy to dispense with grounded, independent, and deep, objective analysis. They want what they want, and they do not seek countervailing arguments to deter them. But it hardly plays into the goal of long-term societal success.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
When Will Cuba Collapse? And What Happens Then?
There can be no clarity in viewing the post-communist era in the Caribbean.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The New US-Turkish Plan for the Eastern Mediterranean Shatters Traditional Alliance Patterns
Specific moves by the United States and Türkiye cause concern in Israel while also negatively affecting Greece and Cyprus.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
HISTORY | Haile Selassie and the Limits of Collective Security
Ninety years after Ethiopia's appeal to the League of Nations, the episode remains a case study in the gap between formal condemnation and effective deterrence.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Britain’s New Government Focuses on Domestic Welfare
Burnham should be expected to have a brief “holiday” period before he is challenged by the opposition to call new elections, given that the Burnham Government had no mandate from the electorate.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has the Canada-US Strategic Split Become Irreversible?
And what does that mean for the next era of strategic alliances? A new NATO? A new period of diminished cooperation between the US and Mexico, the US and European NATO, and so on?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has Türkiye Finally Been Forced Off the Fence? And for How Long?
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | The US at 250
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The Next Strategic Advantage: the Restoration of Literacy
Perhaps the “experiment” in universal, forced literacy, has been a failure, an historical blip. Literacy is in retreat because of technology and because inquiring minds challenge leadership patterns. Yet intellectual capacity— signified by literacy— determines strategic success. What is to be done?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Modestly-Growing Australia is Losing its Regional Security Dominance
Significant improvements in the sophistication and general capabilities of South-East Asian nations, such as Indonesia and Malaysia, have relegated Australia’s historical strategic and miliary dominance of the region to a reduced significance.
PERSONNEL