HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Is Türkiye Nuclear Ready?
Türkiye must now be considered a nuclear weapons state, or at least an incipient nuclear weapons state.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Invisible War: How Conflict in Ethiopia Has Global Consequences
Could a confederation between Ethiopia and Eritrea resolve Red Sea security issues?
2026
Mali: Head of Military Government Assimi Goïta Runs Out of Options
Despite General Goïta’s harsh leadership and determination, it still seems that security autonomy is not possible in the foreseeable future.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 05/2026
RESOURCES
Ethiopia and the Nile: Water, Power, and a Changing World Order
Ethiopia’s struggle over the Nile shows how power, scarcity, and sovereignty are being renegotiated globally, and at growing cost.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS Beyond the China Threat: Where Do India and Indonesia Fit into the Picture?
How much does the AUKUS May 30, 2026, ministerial statement clarify how the alliance is emerging and tackling constant technological and geopolitical evolution?
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Sierra Leone Comes into Focus as Narcotics Epicenter
2026
Arms Transfer Tables
Significant recent international transfers of defense goods and services since May 1, 2025. Last updated May 25, 2026.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Homayoun’s 2003 Approach to Ending Clerical Control of Iran
This assessment of the Iranian problem was given to US policymakers in 2003. Why was it never considered by Washington in the planning to resolve the challenge?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Seek Victory, But What Does It Look Like?
PERSONNEL
The Power Tables
Significant elections and changes in governments since February 1998. Last updated May 25, 2026.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi-Trump: Tactical Goals Met; Strategic Trajectory Unchanged
The overarching strategic US-PRC trajectory seems largely unchanged: the PRC in continued decline and the US in continued strategic consolidation. US allies are making separate plans to manage their strategic space to a greater degree.