STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Putin’s Sudden Turning Point
The stark East-West divide — or re-divide — was not irrevocable until now.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unrest in Nigeria: A SitRep
The proliferation of insurrectionist and criminal threats has pushed Nigeria to a decisive, but by no means irretrievable, point. Its options, however, are likely to become more clear after the 2023 election.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Southern Africa Instability Now at Dangerous Levels
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Defining Governance in Times of Strategic Instability
Do we even understand the four terms which will guide our command over the future: Sovereignty, Democracy, Monarchy, Republic?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Ceremonial Decapitation of a Dead Terrorist
Al-Qaida’s revival must be considered unlikely. The very expensive assassination of Dr al-Zawahiri must be considered nostalgic strategic tokenism. It didn’t alter the strategic equation at all.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Chaos, and the Opportunity for Choice
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Sri Lanka and the Start of a Starvation Pandemic
Poor governmental decisions are leading to starvation…and public retaliation.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria: Breakthrough or Status Quo?
The 2023 election offers the chance of a turning point. Will Nigerians seize it?
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Hope in Ethiopia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR