STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Washington's Stumbling War Against Ethiopia
How the US plunges into the defeat of its own and Western interests in the Horn of Africa
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
In Memoriam: Losing a Part of Oneself
Yossef Bodansky, a uniquely talented and courageous strategic thinker, leaves us
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2021
HISTORY
Consequences: Today It Is Us; Tomorrow It Is You
The Horn of Africa is sliding toward a major war which seems likely to rapidly expand to embrace the major powers. The situation has strong parallels to the 1935 Italian invasion of Ethiopia, which began World War II and destroyed the League of Nations.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Bracing for an Unusual Climax in the Horn of Africa
It was possible that the Ethiopian Military could have staged a coup against Dr Abiy, but even a military-controlled post-Abiy government would have had to move quickly to stop the rebels and their foreign sponsors, which include the Egyptian and US governments.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Talking Itself Into War: Algeria’s Answer to its fin d’ère?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
Afghanistan
AUKUS: The Dysfunctional Birth and Accidental Promise of the West’s New Global Alliance
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States hastily created a new global alliance, but its founders have different views of alliance priorities. AUKUS might actually work, but the US seems intent on jeopardizing Red Sea security, critical to making the bloc work.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Have Met the Enemy…
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS