SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Each Nation Pursued by the Hounds of Hell
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
RESOURCES
Russia’s Plans to Dominate Energy
Moscow’s energy strategy plays to Russia’s considerable strengths
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking South Africa
If there’s smoke, there must be cigarette smuggling. South Africa, Beijing’s most important African client state, sustains its seemingly-inexorable downward momentum.
Afghanistan
Beijing’s “Unavoidable” War: The 21st Century’s Total War Has Begun
The new form of “total war” which Beijing has begun is more comprehensive and amorphous than any strategic engagement seen thus far in history. And Beijing has learned from history: direct military engagement is, of necessity, a very secondary component. This is a war which Pres.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey Attempts Stand-Alone Power Status, But…
Erdogan is rapidly running out of options, and allies. His only firm ally is Qatar; his relationships with Russia, Iran, and China are hedged with mutual distrust and caution. Indeed, the question should increasingly be asked: Does Erdogan actually have a power base absent MIT?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
EARLY WARNING | A Free Trader’s Case Against Free Trade Today
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR