SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Butterfly Effect of Tremors in Small States
In chaos theory, a minute localized change in a complex system can have large effects elsewhere. And the elections in Dominica will play a significant rôle in the future strategic futures of Beijing as well as Washington, DC. But the impact will also reach Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, and so on.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Uzbekistan Re-Emerges as the Strategic “Heartland of the Heartland”
Uzbekistan is emerging as the “strategic surprise player”, galvanizing the Silk Road and Central Asia.
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Next-Gen Strategic Warfare
The Middle East is becoming a key node in the gradual introduction of “next-generation warfare”, as asymmetric confrontation necessitates a greater move toward technology-led Information Dominance doctrines.
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty in the Age of Beijing: Can the PRC “Save” Australia? Or Any Nation?
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why a Coup Attempt in Southern Africa is Strategically Important
The UK has reportedly been promised concessions to exploit Eswatini reserves of diamonds and natural gas, among other things, in a “post-Mswati” Eswatini. And yet the Swati people and chiefdoms overwhelming support their traditional structures and monarchy.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Long Can South Africa Survive as a Cohesive State?
SOVEREIGNTY
A New “East-West” Fault Line
A new strategic framework is possible in which the US could regain some leverage in the Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean. And it could see a resolution of the Kosovo problem which has dogged US credibility in the region since 2008.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s Political Polarization Continues
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Kashmir: Information Dominance 2019-Style
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE