DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Collapse of the Treaty World
Treaties, including the “international rules-based world order” (or Pax Americana), the UN, the EU, and NATO are being dissolved, abandoned, or challenged. What comes next?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | The AU Summit: How Much Did it Matter?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | DR of Congo and Angola Again Reflect Importance
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria: Absent Prestige, All is Lost
The moral authority of governments worldwide is suffering in the current economic and social upheaval, but in Africa it has reached a new level. Events in Nigeria — as well as such places as Sierra Leone — show that the Continent is reaching a breaking point.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Sierra Leone's Crisis Highlights an Africa Breaking with the Past
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coup d’État as a “Democratic Response” to Pseudo-Coup
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CALIR | Has Africa Abandoned Hope For Democracy?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Africa’s Powers Largely in Crisis as Volatility Increases
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.