SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Horn of Africa - War is Over: Long Live the War?
Part of the great war in Ethiopia may be over. But another part is still virulent.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | “Global Britain” or “Middling Britain”: A New Crossroads
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Hope in Ethiopia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Surviving the First Shot
It is said that no plan of campaign survives beyond the first shot fired. But, in the case of the Russia-Ukraine military campaign of February-March 2022, and — most importantly — all that contrived to its beginning, some trends and lessons are already visible.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Talking Itself Into War: Algeria’s Answer to its fin d’ère?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia: Anti-Climax in a Crisis
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The RedMed: War and Decline on the Nile
Ethiopia, facing a myriad of strategic domestic and regional challenges, just bought some breathing space. But time is running out to resolve a half-century’s accretion of corruption, cruelty, mismanagement…and international rivalries.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
PERSONNEL