STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Balkans in the Changing World
The Balkan states are gaining in strategic importance, particularly Serbia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | Revisiting, Reviewing
Important New Strategic Literature
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
Albania
Balkans: Adriatic Sleight of Hand
Montenegro’s “religious freedom” law has become part of a pattern of East-West rivalry which includes US and EU attempts to see Moscow’s influence in Orthodoxy curtailed.
SOVEREIGNTY
A New “East-West” Fault Line
A new strategic framework is possible in which the US could regain some leverage in the Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean. And it could see a resolution of the Kosovo problem which has dogged US credibility in the region since 2008.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | A Window of Opportunity Opens for the US in the Balkans
Events have conspired in the Eastern Mediterranean to open a new chapter of strategic opportunity for the United States, just as US-Turkish relations have moved into a profound downward direction.