RESOURCES
How the Ukraine War Has Saved Communist China
Beijing finally has the chance to throw off some of its dependency on US food supplies, giving it an enormous new lease of strategic freedom.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | We Have Seen Defense’s Enemy, and it is Inflation. Or is it?
“New Defense” industrial thinking, with far greater private sector engagement from new companies using newer technological approaches, is starting to mirror the success of the “New Space” sector. Defense bureaucracies, however, are slower to adopt such anti-inflationary thinking.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persistent Intervention: The Kremlin’s Influence Operations in Ukraine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Afghanistan’s Centrality to the PRC, Russia, and India
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 07/2021
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Eurasia's Pivotal Change
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.