CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Alignments: CANZUK Emerges from the Fog
Less than an empire, more than a commonwealth: a cohesive arrangement of the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand offers new global geopolitical possibilities as perhaps the ultimate maritime power base.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing Responds to India and Cements a Bond With Iran
India not only humiliated the People’s Liberation Army in Ladakh, Kashmir, in June 2020, it made it clear to Beijing that it intended to confront the People’s Republic of China’s landbridge via Kashmir to the Indian Ocean, and to outflank it in Central Asia. Beijing responded with substance in Iran.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2020
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
And Then, What? Looking Beyond the Urgent
Strategic Planning: The fate of the current and anticipated global balance is being decided. The inevitable “rise of China” is no longer inevitable. It is over. But then?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long, Troubled, and Unfinished Saga of Sino-Russian Relations
Beijing is under massive pressure from a failing economy, a society disrupted by coronavirus, and massive natural disasters. Why would it pick a fight at this particular time with Russia over long-standing mutual territorial claims?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Preparing for the Beijing Dénouement
Does Xi Jinping move outward, inward, or both? And to what effect? And, after that, what?
RESOURCES
Russia’s Plans to Dominate Energy
Moscow’s energy strategy plays to Russia’s considerable strengths
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE