RESOURCES
How the Ukraine War Has Saved Communist China
Beijing finally has the chance to throw off some of its dependency on US food supplies, giving it an enormous new lease of strategic freedom.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Surviving the First Shot
It is said that no plan of campaign survives beyond the first shot fired. But, in the case of the Russia-Ukraine military campaign of February-March 2022, and — most importantly — all that contrived to its beginning, some trends and lessons are already visible.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Under the Ukraine Cloud, PRC Makes First Challenge to AUKUS
The Solomons and Kiribati moves place the PRC into the South Pacific, beyond the First Island Chain. This would inhibit AUKUS’ ability to protect Taiwan in the event of war. It would also put the PRC astride the junction of major undersea comms cables near the Solomons.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Canada’s Justin Trudeau Ignites a New Worldwide Trend
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Military Superiority versus Strategic Superiority
The People’s Liberation Army has made impressive gains. Does it matter?
AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Xi Jinping Weaponizes Covid Against the Chinese People
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Australia Commits to Further Global Projection
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Wars and Rumors of Wars: How the US is Responding to Beijing's New Total War
“And ye shall hear of wars and rumors of wars: see that ye be not troubled: for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet.” — Matthew 24:6 in the New Testament.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Woos Washington Back to the Atlantic
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Jakarta: Balancing, Yet Moving
Indonesia's movement toward greater regional economic and strategic power is showing success, and it is occurring with excruciating care to balance its position between superpowers.