DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Are Cracks Appearing in Erdoğan’s “Century of Türkiye” Plan?
Turkish interference in Azerbaijani affairs is deepening rifts among Turkic states and wider Eurasia.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Trade Winds: The New Global Distribution Pattern, Again
Global trade route patterns are entering a period of massive change in 2026.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Clearing the Paths to and from Central Asia
Resolution of the Armenia-Azerbaijan dispute could effectively end the OSCE’s Cold War and post-Cold War era of “freezing conflicts” rather than resolving them decisively through the efforts of the opposing parties. This is part of the post-post-Cold War world of substantive change.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The “Century of Türkiye” Lasted Only Three Years
The Turkish President’s ambitious plans to recreate the footprint of the defunct Ottoman Empire are facing widespread rejection, and dependence on foreign goodwill.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nagorno-Karabakh's Fate Was Sealed by the INSTC
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the West Abandoned Central Asia, and Vice-Versa?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The Endless, Vital Game
Russia is emerging as a major victor in the Great Game. Classical geopolitics lives on.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR