PERSONNEL
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Ultimate Trajectory: Government Legitimacy Under Threat
Governments act with a sense of righteous purpose to “restore order” and to arrest protestors, while vilifying the causes of public outrage. But the sense of unrest reflects the failures of government rather than the failure of the populations.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
ESSENTIAL READING | Trust? In South Asia?
Important New Strategic Literature
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Eurasian Bloc Escalates its War for the Americas
Cold War II has taken on a more global definition as the Eurasian bloc emerges.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing's Indo-Pacific Arc of Power Crystallizes
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
New Realities Emerging in the Indo-Pacific
The Indo-Pacific is the anvil of a new world. But what exactly is the new world?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Isolating the Tatmadaw May Just Be What Beijing Desires
Washington, in 2011, almost missed its first chance in 50 years to secure a break in the PRC’s dominance over Myanmar. Any strident US moves to insist on the installation of an NLD Government might just reverse everything...
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Has the EU Brexit Negotiating Style Doomed the EU Itself?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Did Beijing Galvanize the Launch of a New Anti-PRC Coalition?
In the US, a Democratic Party presidential election victory by its candidate Biden over Trump in Nov. 2020 would be a victory for the CPC, which might then see US challenges to the PRC once again recede. But, even then, could the CPC recover momentum? Could the US? Trend patterns are being changed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty in the Age of Beijing: Can the PRC “Save” Australia? Or Any Nation?
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?