GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
How Long Can Xi Stay Ahead of His Enemies?
The longer Xi staves off his enemies within the Communist Party, the more likely it is that the party will suffer or collapse along with Xi Jinping himself. Something must give, soon.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Land, Cities and Power: A Changing Strategic Relationship?
Existing economic models — those of the past 200 or so years — are showing weakness as the population growth of that period begins to wane. Does this mean a return to more regional and land-based wealth?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the “China Collapse” Already Been a “Soft Landing”?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Insurance Companies as Drivers of Strategic Outcomes
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Xi Asks the US to Save Him
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
The New Total War Economy
How can Xi Jinping, without a strategy or an economic philosophy, promise a war without a war economy?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
How the Prestige and Trust Deficit Impacts the Strategic Equation
Whole of society warfare — total war — must, to be successful, be conducted under an umbrella psychological strategy. This is not just “information warfare”: it goes to the content of all the messaging which generates trust or distrust, confidence or defeatism.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
EARLY WARNING | Addressing the Contradictory Myths of More
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China: Beijing’s Brave Face
Beijing’s latest forecasts are a breathtaking disguise for the abyss which it faces.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | Chips as the Main Meal
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi Consolidates Power with Deliberately Contradictory Moves
Xi Jinping needed, once the Party Congress was over, to re-assert calm over his domestic and international arenas, but there seems little he can do to blunt the PRC’s worsening economic situation and accompany-ing social unrest.
SOVEREIGNTY