SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The Rise of an Extreme New Breed of “Jihadism” in West Africa
CRIME & CORRUPTION
EN CLAIR | Increased Capability But Decreased Security in the Gulf of Guinea
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Options for Africa as Nigeria Moves into a “Post-Democratic” Phase
The hopes for democracy in Africa seem almost to have vanished overnight because of the disappearance of serious international scrutiny of the manipulation of electoral and governance processes, largely since “the West” abandoned the Continent to the People’s Republic of China.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS