SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The Rise of an Extreme New Breed of “Jihadism” in West Africa
CRIME & CORRUPTION
EN CLAIR | Increased Capability But Decreased Security in the Gulf of Guinea
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Options for Africa as Nigeria Moves into a “Post-Democratic” Phase
The hopes for democracy in Africa seem almost to have vanished overnight because of the disappearance of serious international scrutiny of the manipulation of electoral and governance processes, largely since “the West” abandoned the Continent to the People’s Republic of China.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s Government Battles for Survival…But for Itself, Not for Nigeria
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2018
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Profit from Genocide
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya’s Gathering and Critical Jihad
What are Libya’s, and the international community’s, options in the face of the Islamic Caliphate’s growing rôle in Libya? The pace of the conflict there has broadened following a “mega-merger” of jihadist groups under the Caliphate’s banner.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Libya as a DI’ISH Target: Broad Regional Ramifications
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR