PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Japan’s View of its Current Threat Position
RESOURCES
The Strategic Landscape After the AI and EV Bubbles Burst
The AI and EV bubbles seem headed out of fashion in perhaps a year or two, reducing the distortion they have created in the energy and raw materials markets, and thus transforming the basic elements of the balance of power.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Xi Jinping in Pyongyang: The Tumult and the Shouting Dies
Xi Jinping hoped to rebuild his fortunes with his visit to North Korea, and state visits from Trump and Putin, but there is a real sense of emptiness after all the fanfare.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Bid to Move Beyond the First Island Chain Marked by a Major Failure
The Solomons situation is a significant one for the broader strategic framework and how it plays out over the coming two-plus years.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Is North Korea in Play?
Just as the West did not want to believe the old Cold War was over, and its players changed, so it does not wish to consider North Korea a non-communist state. But it truly may be. What is it, and how can the strategic equation now be re-evaluated?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Global Defense Procurement Patterns Set to Change Massively
It seems likely that the US share of the global defense marketplace will begin to peak within the next few years, and then enter a period of decline.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS Beyond the China Threat: Where Do India and Indonesia Fit into the Picture?
How much does the AUKUS May 30, 2026, ministerial statement clarify how the alliance is emerging and tackling constant technological and geopolitical evolution?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Seek Victory, But What Does It Look Like?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi-Trump: Tactical Goals Met; Strategic Trajectory Unchanged
The overarching strategic US-PRC trajectory seems largely unchanged: the PRC in continued decline and the US in continued strategic consolidation. US allies are making separate plans to manage their strategic space to a greater degree.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Rear-Guard Action to Shore Up Strategic Influence in Eswatini
Beijing, having failed to change the Government of Eswatini, has begun operations to dominate the country’s commercial and political sectors. However, its decline in influence through Africa and the rest of the world is now becoming significant as its signature Belt and Road Initiative falls apart.