SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
A Wargame Postulating an Initial “Battle of Taiwan”
The Washington think-tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), recently held a revealing wargaming exercise on a PRC invasion of Taiwan.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China: Beijing’s Brave Face
Beijing’s latest forecasts are a breathtaking disguise for the abyss which it faces.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Eurasia Strategy May Deliver Beijing its Coup de Main
Xi Jinping, facing a collapsing PRC domestic economy and food supply, could broker a Ukraine war peace which would bring Ukraine back into the Eurasian fold. After all, he has now completed a major consolidation of influence over Iran and Saudi Arabia, supported by Iraq and Oman.
AUKUS alliance
CURRENT ESTIMATE | AUKUS: The Global Alliance is Not Just About Submarines
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | Chips as the Main Meal
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Türkiye’s Implosion and Isolation From the West
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
Argentina
When the Balloon Goes Up …
Balloon warfare has been advancing for years. Now, a public outcry at PRC balloon ops has generated a strategic watershed, damaging to Beijing.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Some Steps Forward, Some Back
The AUKUS alliance is moving toward a viable global operational structure, as much to deal with the world after the potential collapse of the Communist Party of China, as to confront Beijing today. But is Australia, its smallest partner, still thinking just too small?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Elections Which Mark 2023 as a Key Year
The reality is that elections, even in small nation-states, can have global consequences.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Pivotal Return of Strategic Vision to the South-West Pacific
The return to the Fijian leadership of Prime Minister Rabuka is a great blow to the interests of the People’s Republic of China in the South-West Pacific, but much needs to be done, quickly, to solidify his ability to retain power in the face of opponents prepared to take extreme measures.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE