STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Russia Must Always Do
Russian grand strategy is clarifying, retaining its historical constants, but with new themes.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Psychological Strategy as the Power Absolute
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The Indo-Pacific’s Changing Strategic Equilibrium
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2021
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Britain’s Grand Strategic Vision
“Wider still and wider shall thy bounds be set” — from the chorus of “Land of Hope and Glory” — describes the UK’s return to a global mission, and it only remains to be seen whether UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will have the resources to accomplish his vision in its entirety.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran-Israel Confrontation Divides the US from Sunni Arabia
...It is unlikely that Washington’s present strategies will result in a restoration of the influence it once had in Tehran or Cairo.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Farewell, Naïve and Sentimental Voter
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Run Silent, Run Sometime. Please
Australia is running into a new “submarine gap”, and a submarine budget which severely distorts its defense budget and strategic profile. What is to be done?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Anglosphere, Commonwealth, or CANZUK? Britain’s Choice
What builds enduring strategic alliances, blocs, and empires? “The enemy of my enemy” may be a friend, but for how long? And under what circumstances?
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Isolating the Tatmadaw May Just Be What Beijing Desires
Washington, in 2011, almost missed its first chance in 50 years to secure a break in the PRC’s dominance over Myanmar. Any strident US moves to insist on the installation of an NLD Government might just reverse everything...
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Indonesia’s Difficult Maneuver Toward Strategic Breakout
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance