GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Private Military Contracting: Outsourcing Warfare
Private sector military forces have again become a norm of national security for many governments. But, as history shows, the costs may be higher than desired.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Critical Infrastructure: Taking the Heart Out of the Heartland
Today, strategic infrastructure is vulnerable to all threats. Gaining control of populations may be the first goal of 21st Century total war before hostilities begin, but destroying enemy infrastructure is the first goal once shots are fired, or e-fired.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | If the “Big Lie” is the New Truth …
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | US Moves on Taiwan Claw Back Key Strategic Options
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Twilight for the US-UK “Special Relationship”. Then What?
A cool US relationship with the UK means that Commonwealth countries such as Canada, Australia, and New Zealand could also view Washington with a more jaundiced eye, and strengthen, or rebuild, their traditional ties with the UK.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Dead Men Walking. Dead Man Waking
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Have US Sanctions Created the Basis for a Strong Iran-PRC-Russia Bloc?
The burgeoning Moscow-Beijing-Tehran friendship spells a weakening of the impact of US sanctions. Tehran’s relief from sanctions in the short-term could lead indirectly to the PRC’s long-term control over Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, cementing Beijing’s footprint in the region.