CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | South China Sea Clashes Inch the Balance Against Beijing
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Butterfly Effect of Tremors in Small States
In chaos theory, a minute localized change in a complex system can have large effects elsewhere. And the elections in Dominica will play a significant rôle in the future strategic futures of Beijing as well as Washington, DC. But the impact will also reach Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, and so on.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Central Asia as the New Indo-Pacific Power
The Central Asian states may finally find cohesion … and warm water ports in the Indian Ocean.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Uzbekistan Re-Emerges as the Strategic “Heartland of the Heartland”
Uzbekistan is emerging as the “strategic surprise player”, galvanizing the Silk Road and Central Asia.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why Britain’s Brexit Election Was a Pivotal Global Issue
Britain, post-Brexit, can become the cornerstone of a new, global NATO, even as the UK-EU trade relationship is being settled. In the meantime, US and Commonwealth links can substantially bolster NATO’s probable Indo-Pacific mission, while also contributing to a revived UK trading pattern.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
EARLY WARNING | A Crash of Civilizations; A Rise of Machines?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | An Election in a Small Caribbean State Could Be Pivotal
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Next-Gen Strategic Warfare
The Middle East is becoming a key node in the gradual introduction of “next-generation warfare”, as asymmetric confrontation necessitates a greater move toward technology-led Information Dominance doctrines.
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty in the Age of Beijing: Can the PRC “Save” Australia? Or Any Nation?
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?