STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Chinese Dawn Over the Persian Gulf
Saudi Arabia and the UAE move away from the US. Iran cements its ties with Beijing and Moscow. It’s another major stage in a very new Middle East.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Change, When it is Seen to Appear, is Sudden
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Defense and Strategic Planning Challenges in an Entirely New Age
Trends in geopolitical, economic, and technological developments increasingly need to be viewed within a global context. The age of stovepiping, which worked during much of the Cold War, cannot be expected to work now, or through the coming decades. Everything is connected.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Hong Kong's Protests Reflect the New Global Strategic Realities Challenging Beijing
Affairs in smaller geopolitical entities — such as Hong Kong and Dominica — show significant vulnerabilities in Beijing's apparently seamless rise to strategic power.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Turkey After the F-35 Cancellation: the Potential Impact on Cyprus
Turkey's actions toward Cyprus are now likely to strongly reflect the breakdown in Turkey's relations with the United States and the European Union.
SOVEREIGNTY
The UK and the West: Britannia Waives the Rules
Whither the United Kingdom? What are the options — and more importantly, what are the strategic priorities — for the Government of Boris Johnson? Can the UK recover from its several decades of strategic decline as a result of its European Union membership.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Have Saudi Arabia and the UAE Found an Exit Plan from the Yemen War?
Neither the old “North Yemen” nor the old “South Yemen” have any leadership or specific plan. Both are fractured. Only Iran is making ground. And Beijing may be the hidden factor.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The “Tanker War”, The Great Powers, and the Future
Russia, the People’s Republic of China, and the US were maneuvering in, around, and through Iran during the Spring and Summer of 2019. Here, Senior Editor Yossef Bodansky discusses much of the detail leading up to the denouement of a multi-tiered great game.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Iran: The Art of the Bazaar Deal
US Pres. Donald Trump tried his “Art of the Deal” approach to get Iranian leaders to the negotiating table. But Iran’s clerical leader has adopted a different approach, designed to ensure the continuation of the leadership, even if it means suffering through a war.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Battle for the Indo-Pacific: Honiara Finds its Power
Beijing makes Taiwan denial a 2019 primary focus, while the US-led alliance slowly awakens.
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Brexit: Hysteria Continues to Prevail Over Contextual Views
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
SOVEREIGNTY
Indonesia’s West Papua Sovereignty Challenge Gets Interesting
A decline in Indonesia’s relations with the US, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK could see Jakarta losing its traction with those states, increasing the potential window of support for the West Papua independence movements.