SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why the Changes in eSwatini Should Be of Strategic Interest
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Settling in for the Long, Long War
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Australia: Lucky Country?
Has Australia's luck abandoned it at a critical time in history?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Washington and Seoul: Is it Over?
Beijing, Moscow, Pyongyang, and Seoul now feel back in charge of the Korean Peninsula dynamic. Where does that leave Washington?
SOVEREIGNTY
The Inevitable Return of Sovereignty
History's cyclical patterns make the case that sovereignty must make its return as the dominant driver of the global strategic architecture of the 21st Century, whether we like it or not. And apparently most societies demand it, particularly when uncertainty strikes.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | US's Turkey Divorce Complicated by Qatar, Iran, Syria, Russia
The strategic path along which the US and Turkey are traveling has an element of fatalism about it, given that each side fears the divorce for a range of different reasons.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | The Dark Korean Shadow Play
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | US Faces Exclusion from the Korean, Silk Road Dynamic
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
EN CLAIR | Turkey’s Crisis May Be Terminal
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.