SOVEREIGNTY
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Israel-Syria
Thoughts on the evolution and near-term impact of nuclear stalemates between the West and “rogue” states as the US withdraws from the “nuclear deal” with Iran. First, the historical lessons learned from the Israeli confrontation of Syria over its nuclear weapons program.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Saudi Arabia’s Fortunes Reach a Critical Juncture
Saudi Arabia has plunged its immediate region into major strategic uncertainty.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Britain Comes Home to the World, But Where Is Its Plan?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2018
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Mahathir’s Return in Malaysia Promises Significant Change
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump Iran Decision: Yes, But What Does It Really Mean?
US Pres. Donald Trump’s move to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear pact was anticipated, and dire forecasts proliferated as to the impact of such a move. But what, in the end, does it really mean? The pact had not led to a real opening between Iran and the West.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2018
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Real Prospect Exists for Major Instability in Southern Africa
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Great Power Politics: The Skripal Case
Why Were Basic Questions Being Ignored and Distractions Employed?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The DPRK-US Minuette
The impending Trump-Kim talks, as forecast a year ago, provided the first challenge of global consequence to the strategic rise of the PRC. Beijing has already begun to respond. There are more than two dancers in this minuette.