GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Washington and Seoul: Is it Over?
Beijing, Moscow, Pyongyang, and Seoul now feel back in charge of the Korean Peninsula dynamic. Where does that leave Washington?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 08/2019
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria’s Buhari Government Implodes
Nigeria’s internal security situation was, by mid-August 2018, almost at a tipping point, with the Government of Pres. Muhammadu Buhari now unable to control corruption, law enforcement, or the war against insurgents.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Greater Syria: Can Wishing Make It So?
Historical fatalism, water and food shortages, and jihadism conspire to set the stage for a major conflict escalation based on “Greater Syria”. It is already underway.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Africa II: Nigeria Prepares for a Major Challenge to Buhari, But First...
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2018
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Africa I: Abiy Transforms the Horn, and Egypt’s Position
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
Afghanistan
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing, Tehran: Suzerainty, New Colonialism, and Crime
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Transitions - 06/2018
SOVEREIGNTY