STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Total War: Decisive Battle, Decisive War
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking South Africa
If there’s smoke, there must be cigarette smuggling. South Africa, Beijing’s most important African client state, sustains its seemingly-inexorable downward momentum.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Indonesia
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Outlook Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Much of Africa
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2020
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing, Increasingly Desperate, Continues Assault on Eswatini
PRC's Ambassador to South Africa issued a 7-page statement to Eswatini demanding that it change its diplomatic allegiance from the ROC or face total isolation from the African and world community. Beijing is now lashing out to subdue what is seen as a mounting global repudiation of Beijing.