ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Butterfly Effect of Tremors in Small States
In chaos theory, a minute localized change in a complex system can have large effects elsewhere. And the elections in Dominica will play a significant rôle in the future strategic futures of Beijing as well as Washington, DC. But the impact will also reach Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, and so on.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | An Election in a Small Caribbean State Could Be Pivotal
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2019
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Transitions - 06/2018
SOVEREIGNTY
On the Matter of Constitutional and Institutional Choice
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2018
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The Battle of Washington
The US, a year after the election of a new President, remains deeply engaged in a war between an entrenched “establishment” and that disruptive new President. What is significant is that there are no “war correspondents”, so there is an uninformed electorate.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Venezuela and the Emerging Pre-Westphalian Societies
AFRICA
Preparing for Xi’s Visit to Trump
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2016
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The FARC Dilemma
The failure of Colombian voters to ratify a painfully-negotiated treaty with rebel group FARC has profound ramifications for narco-trafficking, as well as for Colombia’s future.