STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
PERSONNEL
PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
SOVEREIGNTY
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.