STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Russia Must Always Do
Russian grand strategy is clarifying, retaining its historical constants, but with new themes.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seeing Reality in the Red Sea Wars
Could the Ethiopia-Egypt conflict be reversed into an alliance?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Britain’s Grand Strategic Vision
“Wider still and wider shall thy bounds be set” — from the chorus of “Land of Hope and Glory” — describes the UK’s return to a global mission, and it only remains to be seen whether UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will have the resources to accomplish his vision in its entirety.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Anglosphere, Commonwealth, or CANZUK? Britain’s Choice
What builds enduring strategic alliances, blocs, and empires? “The enemy of my enemy” may be a friend, but for how long? And under what circumstances?
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Indonesia’s Difficult Maneuver Toward Strategic Breakout
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Australia Girds for Power Projection Independence
Australia is more ready to resist a PRC military thrust southward than it was to face the Japanese southward thrust in World War II. And the PRC’s capability today may not be as potent in the relative balance as Japan’s was in 1941.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?