STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Afghanistan
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing, Tehran: Suzerainty, New Colonialism, and Crime
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Transitions - 06/2018
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Malaysia: Russia Insures Against the PRC
SOVEREIGNTY
On the Matter of Constitutional and Institutional Choice
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Israel-Syria
Thoughts on the evolution and near-term impact of nuclear stalemates between the West and “rogue” states as the US withdraws from the “nuclear deal” with Iran. First, the historical lessons learned from the Israeli confrontation of Syria over its nuclear weapons program.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Britain Comes Home to the World, But Where Is Its Plan?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2018
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | South Africa’s Pres. Ramaphosa Faces a Very Delicate Year Ahead
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Prestige = Legitimacy = Sovereignty = Power
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump Iran Decision: Yes, But What Does It Really Mean?
US Pres. Donald Trump’s move to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear pact was anticipated, and dire forecasts proliferated as to the impact of such a move. But what, in the end, does it really mean? The pact had not led to a real opening between Iran and the West.