DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Diplomacy on the Brink in West Africa
Regional cooperation blocs are everywhere becoming less cohesive, but the disintegration of the West African pioneer, ECOWAS, has perhaps been the most significant.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
A New Axis? Türkiye, Ukraine and Syria
In order to show that it favors the US strategy and to present itself as a factor of stability in the region, Türkiye is bringing Ukraine to Syria; that is, to a geographical area that Russia has traditionally used by maintaining bases in order to serve its interests in the Eastern Mediterranean.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | The Return of Taiwan: How Beijing’s Collapsing Influence Opens the Door for Taipei
Taiwan could be poised to benefit from the declining fortunes of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to conceivably begin expanding once again the number of nations with which it has diplomatic relations.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance Fracture is Now Global
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye Now Seeks the West’s Protection
Decisions and actions related to the establishment of a Multinational Command as well as a NATO Army Corps Command in Türkiye have recently been made known.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Does a “Sole Superpower” Need Allies?
Trump indicated that the US would soon leave the Iran region without guaranteeing any long-term US strategic necessities, like cutting off energy to the PRC, or gaining clear access to the markets of Central Asia. Trump failed to engage allies but insulted them nonetheless for not providing support.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Creating a New Sunni Axis?
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
After the Chaos: Will the US Be the “Indispensable Nation”?
The United States may, within a decade, have completed its move from being “the indispensable nation” — whatever that means — to becoming isolated, even as it remains the world’s sole superpower.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | The Blinding of FiveEyes, But Maybe it was Time
It was touted as the most important strategic alliance in the world, but the FiveEyes network had fallen into disunity and disutility by 2020 at the latest.
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty, Borders, If You Can Keep Them
One of the founders of the post-British United States of America, Benjamin Franklin, was asked what would be the nature of the new nation. He answered: “A republic; if you can keep it.”
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has Trump Transformed, or Ended, the Anglophone Group?
United States President Donald Trump, during the first year of his second presidency, severely shook strategic relationships with the US’ key historical allies in the Anglosphere, the traditionally English-speaking societies of the world.