STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The first significant signs have begun to emerge that the February 14, 2015, Nigerian elections may remove Pres. Goodluck Jonathan. But that depends on whether they actually occur. What happens if they do not? None of the options for stability are good.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Do sanctions work, or do they exacerbate conflict, in a multi-polar strategic environment? And who suffers most? Could it be the sanctioning states? French Pres. Hollande succumbed — at least temporarily — to US pressure on delivery of Mistral ships to Russia, which pays the price.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Asian strategic balance has transformed. Within this, Taipei is finally committing to major new submarine, surface warfare, and other programs to ensure it retains its options. This may provide the catalyst for other regional states to begin re-thinking their positions.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Strategic cyber warfare is set to mimic — on a larger scale — the effects of major natural disasters, while the existing pattern of these disasters in the Indo-Pacific region already preoccupies maritime agencies hampered by political distortions in regional cooperation.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Afghanistan
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
As Turkey slips in terms of NATO reliability, planners look at changing threat and access patterns in the Eastern Mediterranean and Levant.