PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
ESSENTIAL READING | Trust? In South Asia?
Important New Strategic Literature
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | How Turkey, at the Brink, Fights to Save Its Leader
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Moving to the Major Phase of the PRC’s “New Civil War”
The civil war within the party moves into a new phase of suppression of Xi’s opponents and the broader public. The damage to the international economy will be immense. The cost to the Chinese people will be immeasurably more severe.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Eurasian Bloc Escalates its War for the Americas
Cold War II has taken on a more global definition as the Eurasian bloc emerges.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Putin’s Sudden Turning Point
The stark East-West divide — or re-divide — was not irrevocable until now.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi’s Gamble Becomes Precarious, but Where Is the West?
Western leaderships, by missing the cue on the PRC, have drawn down military stores, particularly operational ammunition levels, to dangerous levels to help Ukraine fight Russia. Forces in the Indo-Pacific have become depleted and vulnerable.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2022
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Xi Jinping Battles to Retain Credibility in the Run-Up to the 20th Party Congress
Just how secure is Xi Jinping in his bid for a third term as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China? His actions against Taiwan show desperation.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Military Conflict Evolves, and with It, Uncertainty
Armed conflicts are now more likely to occur, but warfighting lessons — from Russia-Ukraine and the PRC-ROC/US — are still incomplete, and outcomes uncertain.